Gallup’s last three nights of interviewing of adults, conducted Sept. 4 to 6, shows President Barack Obama with a 52 percent approval rating, the highest approval percentage reported for Obama on the Gallup tracking poll since May 2011, just after the killing of Osama bin Laden, reports The Huff Post.
Frank Newport, Gallup’s editor-in-chief wrote about the bump, noting that the data does not “reflect the influence of Obama’s late Thursday night speech.” This could increase the convention bounce, or possibly lower it.
“Key focus points now will be the ultimate magnitude and duration of the apparent Democratic bounce going forward. By the middle of next week we will have a good feel for both of these dimensions,” Newport said.
“President Barack Obama and the Democratic Party look as if they are getting at least a preliminary bounce from their convention. Today’s (Friday, September 7, 2012) Gallup Daily tracking update puts Obama’s job approval rating at 52%, the highest it has been since May 2011, after the killing of Osama bin Laden.”
“Obama has also moved to a 48% to 45% lead over Mitt Romney among registered voters in the election tracking, up from Obama’s 47% to 46% margin over the last nine days,” said Newport.
The latest results represent a seven percentage point increase in Obama’s approval rating, from 45 percent, from Gallup’s previous three-day sample, conducted Sept. 1 to 3.
Results released Friday show Obama with a 3-point lead over Republican nominee Mitt Romney (48 to 45 percent).
Friday’s update of the Reuters/Ipsos online poll also found indications of what Reuters describes as a “convention induced bounce.”
According to Reuters, Obama jumped ahead in the latest daily tracking poll with 46 percent of 1,434 likely voters saying they would vote for him if the November 6 elections were held today, topping Romney’s 44 percent.
“The numbers only moved a little bit but they moved in the direction that suggests that we may be seeing the first inkling of a post-convention bump,” Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.
Asked who was the more likable candidate, 52 percent of registered voters surveyed favored Obama compared to 29 percent for Romney. Among independents, Barack Obama enjoyed a likability advantage of 50 percent to 22 percent for Mitt Romney.
The president also widened his lead over Romney in categories of “represents America” (Obama 44 percent, Romney 37 percent), “tough enough for the job” (Obama 42 percent, Romney 37 percent) and “will protect American jobs” (Obama 40 percent, Romney 37 percent).
However, Gallup notes: “Although such a gap in favorable vs. approval ratings is typical for presidents, the fact that Obama’s favorable ratings are just above — and his approval rating just below — the 50% mark makes his re-election prospects uncertain. Obama has maintained a slim one-percentage-point advantage, 47% to 46%, over Mitt Romney in registered voters’ presidential preferences for the last week of Gallup Daily tracking.”