Elections 2012: Obama Leads Romney By 7 Percent, Polls Show

President Barack Obama is leading Mitt Romney by 7 points among registered voters — 52 percent to 45 percent — in a recent CNN/ORC International poll.

President Barack Obama is leading Mitt Romney by 7 points among registered voters — 52 percent to 45 percent — in a just-released CNN/ORC International poll. Photo: Chuck Kennedy/The White House

new CNN/ORC national poll indicates that President Obama holds a 52 percent to 45 percent lead over Republican presidential contender Mitt Romney. Obama leads by 11 points among independents in the survey.

While Romney’s favorable rating has remained steady (47% now compared to 48% in July), his unfavorable rating has jumped from 42% last month to 48% now, according to CNN. The president’s 56%-42% favorable-unfavorable rating now is little changed from July.

“Among independent voters, the poll indicates President Obama has a 53%-42% lead,” CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. “The president holds a nine point advantage among women voters and a smaller six point edge among men.”

However, Romney’s image has taken a beatinga mong independents. In May, only 40% of independents had an unfavorable view of Romney. Now, 52% of independents have a negative view of him.

The recent trend of generally good news for President Obama continued on Thursday afternoon, with the release of a new poll by Fox News.

According to this poll, the president would take 49 percent of the vote compared to Mitt Romney’s 40 percent in a head-to-head matchup if the election were held today, the poll found. Last month, the president had a four percentage-point edge of 45 percent to 41 percent. This marks the second time this year the president has had a lead outside the poll’s margin of sampling error.

Moreover, independents would now pick the Obama over Romney by 11 percentage points.

“The events of the past two weeks appear to have energized Democratic voters a bit,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News poll with Democratic pollster Chris Anderson.

“But perhaps more critically, Romney’s support among independents has declined. The Obama campaign has — at least in the short-term — succeeded in raising questions about Romney’s fitness to govern and in making this less of a referendum and more of a choice election,” Shaw added.

More good news for President Obama: overall 54 percent of voters have a positive view of him, matching his highest favorable rating in more than a year. Last month, it was 52 percent. Obama’s current rating is nearly as high as four years ago, when 59 percent viewed him positively.

In the meantime, sixty-four percent of all Americans, and 68% of independents, think Romney favors the rich over the middle class. And 63% of the public thinks Romney should release more tax returns than he has already made public, a figure which rises to 67% among independents.

The majority of Obama supporters (83 percent) and Romney supporters (87 percent) say they are “certain” to vote for their candidate. Nearly one in four independent voters says they could change their mind before voting (24 percent).

President Obama is trusted more than Mitt Romney on foreign policy (13 points), helping people achieve the American dream (+8 points), national security (+ 8 points), health care (+ 7 points) and stopping Iran from getting nuclear weapons (+4 points).

At the same time, more voters trust Romney to do a better job on reducing the deficit (+ 8 points) and improving the economy (+3 points) — the most important issue to voters this election.

And 56-percent say the economy will be “extremely important” to their vote for president.

Regardless of which candidate they support, 63% think Obama will win re-election, with one third saying Romney will win.

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