House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) said in an interview with Fox News Channel that will run on Tuesday that there is a “one-in-three” chance that Democrats will win the House in November, reports The Washington Post.
‘I believe that we will, but we’ve got a real challenge,’ Boehner said when asked if Republicans would keep control of the House.
“I would say that there is a 2 in 3 chance that we win control of the House again. But there’s a 1 in 3 chance that we could lose,” he said Monday to Fox News’ Bill Hemmer, according to The Huff Post.
Boehner said: “We have 50 of our members in tough races; 89 freshmen running for their first re-elections. And we have 32 districts that are in states where there is no presidential campaign going to be run, no big Senate race and we call these orphan districts.”
“You take 18 of them — California, Illinois and New York, where you know we’re not likely to do well at the top of the ticket — and those districts are frankly pretty vulnerable,” he added.
Boehner’s words will certainly make plenty of news. But his remark was far from a slip. Rather, it seems that it was a purposeful attempt to remind his party (and its donors) of the stakes this November.
Usually politicians are reluctant to admit when they are in trouble, but Republicans have privately worried for months that donors and party leaders are too concerned with winning the presidential race and the Senate that they will neglect the one chamber they currently hold: the House.
John Boehner also critisized top Obama campaign strategist David Axelrod’s comment on Sunday that House Republicans are under a “reign of terror” brought about by the far right of their party.
“That that is just outrageous talk,” Boehner said. “They’re trying to make this election, as I said earlier, about anything other than the president’s failed economic policies. And so they’re going to look for every boogeyman known to man,” he said.
“Listen, if Republicans were walking in lockstep, my job would be a whole lot easier,” he added.
Democrats need to win 25 districts to re-take the House, and that’s a steep hill to climb — particularly given that the president’s party rarely wins many seats when the president is running for reelection. But it’s got Boehner concerned enough that he’s publicly fretting about November.
However, according to Politico, in January, John Boehner sounded a lot more confident about the GOP’s chances of keeping its majority in 2012.
House Speaker brushed off Democratic claims that House control is up for grabs, pointing to the role of the once-in-a-decade redistricting process in cementing the Republican Party’s hold.
In fact, then he said that it was “nearly impossible” for Democrats to win it back in November and it was “quite likely” his party would maintain control of the House through at least 2020.