Polls Show Perry Loses His Popularity Among GOP Voters

Rick Perry lost his popularity during last weeks while Mitt Romney gains clear advantage.

Politically engaged Republican activists have decisively soured on Rick Perry and warmed to Mitt Romney over the last few weeks. Photo: KUT Austin/Flickr

160 Republican political activists, party officials and officeholders in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolinawere asked by Huff Post about how their opinions of presidential candidates Romney and Perry have changed over the last two to three weeks.

The results were as follows: 57 percent said that their impression of Perry has grown less favorable, while just 16 percent say it has become more favorable.

And it is just on the contrary when it comes to Perry’s rival. A majority (47 percent) said that their impression of Romney has become more favorable, while only 13 percent say they think less of him.

In the survey conducted by Huff Post a month ago 58 percent of respondents used positive terms to describe Texas governor Perry, and better than three out of four rated him presidential (77 percent) and capable of beating Barack Obama (76 percent).

According to Zogby Poll Rick Perry has tumbled by more than 20 percentage points during the past month among Republican presidential primary voters. Now he is second to Herman Cain, who leads the field with 28%.

Mitt Romney received little benefit from Perrys fall in Zogby Poll, he garnered 17% of the vote for third place.

These are the results from an IBOPE Zogby interactive poll which was conducted Sept. 23-26 of all likely voters and of likely Republican primary voters.

As for President Barack Obama, both his job approval (42%) and the percentage who believe he deserves re-election (37%) are little changed from recent polls, but he does seem to be winning back some supporters who have been disappointed in his job performance.

At the same time Michele Bachmann continues her fall in the polling. She fell from a first-place 34% on June 30 to just 4% now.

While some other announced GOP candidates have had large fluctuations in their standing with party voters, since June 21 Romney has remained steadily between 12% and 17%.

Political scientists Marty Cohen, David Karol, Hans Noel and John Zaller argue in their book “The Party Decides” that “party leaders, aligned groups, and activists” have been a “systematic force in presidential nominations.”

In particular, they find these influential party actors are “a major reason that all nominees since the 1970s have been credible and at least reasonably electable representatives of their partisan traditions.”

Meanwhile, a new CNN/ORC International poll released Monday finds Perry with a smaller, but still notable advantage over his chief rival Mitt Romney.

He leads Romney by 7 points, 28 percent to 21 percent. Two weeks ago, the same poll found Perry with a 12-point lead over Romney.

Perry jumps to 30 percent, followed by Romney (22 percent) and Gingrich (11 percent).

While Perry remains on top of CNN/ORC International poll, the poll does offer some troubling data points for his campaign.

Two weeks ago, Perry held a double-digit lead among both men and women, but there are now signs of a gender gap. Perry has a 17-point lead among male voters, while Romney has a 4-point lead among women.

Perry has also seen a drop in support among Republicans who went to college. Earlier this month, he held a 13-point lead over Romney, but now the two are statistically tied. His 11-point lead over Romney among “suburban voters” has evaporated in the last two weeks, leaving the two tied at 28 percent support apiece.

Only Paul keeps pace with Romney and Perry against Obama. The president has a four point lead over theTexascongressman, 51 percent to 47 percent—a result that is within the poll’s margin of error. [via Huff Post, Yahoo! and Iron Mill]

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