As the start of the 2012 presidential campaign nears, a new national poll suggests that President Barack Obama’s tax-cut compromise with congressional Republicans did not hurt his standing among Democrats, while former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin may be dropping in the eyes of Republicans.
President Barack Obama enjoys a comfy 85% support from liberal Democrats and 78% of Democrats questioned in the poll want the President to run in 2012. Only 19% would like another nominee to replace the President.
In the battle for the GOP presidential nomination, only 49 percent of Republicans say they were “very” or “somewhat likely” to support Sen. John McCain’s running mate in 2008 for the Republican nomination in 2012, according to a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released on Tuesday.
“That’s a huge 18-point drop since December of 2008, when two-thirds of GOPers said they were likely to support Palin,” CNN Polling Director Keating Holland explained. “It also puts her well behind potential rivals Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney, and a bit behind Newt Gingrich as well.”
While Sarah Palin is losing ground to other Republican candidates, a full 78 percent of Democrats want Obama to win the nomination for a second term in office – up five percent from late October. At roughly the same point in his presidency, only 57 percent of Democrats wanted Clinton to be re-nominated.
Of her main potential rivals, two thirds of Republicans questioned stated that they were ‘somewhat’ or ‘very likely’ to support Mike Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor, while 59 per cent said the same of Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor.
The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted December 17-19, with 1,008 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey’s overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.
Surveys in battleground states carried by out by Public Policy Polling, which is affiliated to the Democratic party, also indicated Mrs Palin faces an uphill task. In Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Michigan, her overall popularity rating was below 40 per cent.
Republican strategists, however, state that the fervour of Mrs Palin’s core supporters, her ability to garner news coverage and her populist appeal would make her a formidable candidate despite what pollsters term her “high negatives”.
In another blow for Mrs Palin, Alaska has certified Senator Lisa Murkowski as the winner of the Alaska Senate contest. Mrs Palin has feuded with Mrs Murkowski since defeating her father Frank in the 2006 governor’s race.
During the midterm elections campaign, Mrs Palin enthusiastically backed Joe Miller, the Tea Party candidate who defeated Mrs Murkowski in the Republican primary. Mrs Murkowski then ran as a “write-in” candidate in the general election and was certified as the winner with 101,091 votes compared to 90,839 for Mr Miller.
A PPP poll released this week showed that only 33 per cent of Alaskans have a favourable opinion of Mrs Palin, who resigned as the state’s governor in 2009, and 58 per cent viewed her negatively. Only in the liberal bastion of Massachusetts, with 68 per cent, was she less popular.
Palin has declined to provide a timeframe for when she will announce whether she will run for president, but it is widely expected that she will take her time in assessing the field of GOP contenders before deciding whether to jump in.
[via PoliticusUSA and CNN Political Ticker]